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Algorithmic Collusion by Large Language Models

Sara Fish, Yannai A. Gonczarowski, Ran I. Shorrer

Two LLM-run firms set prices in a repeated duopoly; the question is whether they converge on supracompetitive prices without communicating.

We conduct experiments with algorithmic pricing agents based on Large Language Models (LLMs). In oligopoly settings, LLM-based pricing agents quickly and autonomously reach supracompetitive prices and profits. Variation in seemingly innocuous phrases in LLM instructions ("prompts") substantially influence the degree of supracompetitive pricing. We develop novel techniques for behavioral analysis of LLMs and use them to uncover price-war concerns as a contributing factor. Our results extend to auction settings. Our findings uncover unique challenges to any future regulation of LLM-based pricing agents, and AI-based pricing agents more broadly.

Figure 1: Illustration of Experimental Design From Sara Fish et al. (2024), arXiv license.

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